Q2 2024 Active Fixed Income Outlook: new rates regime?

Against a backdrop of solid growth and declining inflation, for much of the year so far investors have anticipated a series of US interest rate cuts, thus conforming to the perfect soft-landing narrative. It now looks as though that narrative is being challenged. Geopolitical tensions, coupled with a US economy that is running too hot for comfort, means that the possibility of a ‘no cuts’ base case on yield curves and issuance may well become a reality. What are the implications for fixed income investors?

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In this second quarter outlook, our Active Fixed Income team also discusses:

• What’s behind the recent strong inflows into European credit and what could reverse that trend?
• Why, do we believe, worries over upcoming high-yield maturity walls are unfounded?
• And what’s behind our reasoning that emerging market high yield valuations appear cheap relative to historic levels?

 

Key risks

The value of an investment and any income taken from it is not guaranteed and can go down as well as up, you may not get back the amount you originally invested. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Whilst LGIM has integrated Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) considerations into its investment decision-making and stewardship practices, this does not guarantee the achievement of responsible investing goals within funds that do not include specific ESG goals within their objectives.

The risks associated with each fund or investment strategy should be read and understood before making any investment decisions. Further information on the risks of investing in this fund is available in the prospectus at. http://www.lgim.com/fundcentre

 

 

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