Q2 2024 Active Fixed Income Outlook: new rates regime?

Against a backdrop of solid growth and declining inflation, for much of the year so far investors have anticipated a series of US interest rate cuts, thus conforming to the perfect soft-landing narrative. It now looks as though that narrative is being challenged. Geopolitical tensions, coupled with a US economy that is running too hot for comfort, means that the possibility of a ‘no cuts’ base case on yield curves and issuance may well become a reality. What are the implications for fixed income investors?

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In this second quarter outlook, our Active Fixed Income team also discusses:

• What’s behind the recent strong inflows into European credit and what could reverse that trend?
• Why, do we believe, worries over upcoming high-yield maturity walls are unfounded?
• And what’s behind our reasoning that emerging market high yield valuations appear cheap relative to historic levels?

 

Rischi principali

Il valore degli investimenti e i proventi da essi derivanti non sono garantiti e possono aumentare come diminuire; potreste non recuperare l'importo inizialmente investito. La performance passata non è garanzia di risultati futuri.

Sebbene LGIM abbia integrato considerazioni ambientali, sociali e di governance (ESG) nelle sue pratiche di decisione di investimento e di stewardship, ciò non garantisce il raggiungimento di obiettivi di investimento responsabile all’interno di fondi che non includono obiettivi ESG specifici.

 

 

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